Wind AlliesTier 2
at Standard Sunday!
decks
2
(25.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-3-1
overall winrate
41.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.2%
avg ELO -0.4 per match
expected value
46.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1346
· median 1346
· range 1311–1382
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1119
Q1 1280
Q3 1453
1493
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 25.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 12.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 49.3% | -0.7 |
| Slimes | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.9% | -1.7 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.2 |
| Wind Vanitas | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
